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IMF hails Saudi Arabia’s economic transformation successes

Saudi Arabia has received high praise from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for its remarkable progress
 

IMF praises Saudi Arabia’s unprecedented success in economic transformation

Saudi Arabia has received high praise from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for its remarkable progress and sustained efforts in advancing its economic transformation, which the IMF described as "unprecedented." The Kingdom has made significant strides in modernization and diversification as part of its Vision 2030 initiative, with the IMF projecting a 4.4% medium-term growth in the non-oil sector.

This recognition came during a press conference held by Amine Mati, the IMF's Assistant Director, Mission Chief for Saudi Arabia, and Head of the GCC Division, where highlights of the IMF’s annual report were presented. Mati emphasized Saudi Arabia’s impressive economic achievements under Vision 2030, particularly its success in recalibrating investment spending and prioritizing projects through integrated sector strategies.

 

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The IMF report noted the Kingdom’s fiscal adjustments, including a recent study on fiscal space that helped optimize investment spending to avoid the risks of economic overheating. The Executive Board of the IMF expressed support for this recalibration, viewing it as a key to highlighting government priorities and boosting investor confidence. Saudi Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan confirmed that the Kingdom would adjust its Vision 2030 plan as needed to continue transforming the economy.

The IMF forecasts that Saudi Arabia’s debt-to-GDP ratio will rise to 36% by 2029, comfortably below the country's threshold of 40%. Overall growth is expected to reach 4.7% in 2025, aided by the phasing out of oil production cuts, while inflation remains under control due to consistent domestic policies and a stable peg to the US dollar. The report also highlighted Saudi Arabia’s record-low unemployment rate and the exceeding of its Vision 2030 goal of 30% female labor force participation.

 

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Despite oil production cuts leading to a 0.8% contraction in 2023, the non-oil GDP grew by 3.8%, driven by strong private consumption and investment. Inflation rates also dropped from 3.4% in early 2023 to 1.6% by mid-2024, supported by a stronger exchange rate. Additionally, the rise in rents and wholesale prices reflected increased redevelopment activities in cities like Riyadh and Jeddah.

The IMF report also noted that the current account surplus fell to 3.2% of GDP in 2023, primarily due to lower oil exports and higher imports tied to investment projects. However, this was offset by a record services balance surplus, including a 38% rise in net tourism income. Saudi Arabia’s reserves remained robust, covering 15.8 months of imports.

 

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The IMF commended the resilience of Saudi Arabia’s banking sector, with stress tests revealing its capacity to withstand severe shocks. The IMF Board further praised the Kingdom's progress in renewable energy, its commitment to achieving net-zero emissions by 2060, and efforts to enhance the business environment through digitalization and improved governance.

Overall, the IMF lauded Saudi Arabia’s ongoing economic transformation, robust non-oil growth, and stable macroeconomic outlook, reinforcing the Kingdom’s position as a leading economic player in the region.

Source: Saudi Gazette

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