Saudi Arabia allocates $16 billion to settle and terminate NEOM contracts
Saudi Arabia has allocated
approximately SAR 60 billion ($16 billion) over the 2026–2030 period to settle
and terminate contracts linked to its flagship NEOM development, according to a report
published by Semafor on June 7.
The planned expenditure highlights
the scale of the kingdom's effort to restructure the ambitious mega-project
after years of rapid expansion and mounting costs. The termination allocation
represents nearly two-thirds of NEOM's remaining capital budget for the period
and exceeds the Public Investment Fund's (PIF) reported cash reserves of
approximately $15 billion.
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Since its launch by Crown Prince
Mohammed bin Salman in 2017, NEOM has consumed an estimated $64 billion in
spending. However, several major components of the project have since been
scaled back, delayed, or suspended amid changing economic priorities and fiscal
pressures.
Contract
Termination Costs
Industry experts note that the $16
billion figure does not represent a conventional penalty. Most major
construction agreements in the Gulf region include "termination for
convenience" clauses, allowing project owners to halt work while
compensating contractors for completed work, mobilization costs, materials, and
demobilization expenses.
As projects progress, the cost of
terminating contracts often approaches the cost of completing them. Under
revised plans, NEOM's construction budget for 2026–2030 was reduced from $71
billion to $30 billion before an additional 15 percent capital expenditure
reduction lowered total allocations to roughly $25.5 billion. Of that amount,
approximately $16 billion is earmarked for contract settlements, leaving about
$9.5 billion available for ongoing construction activity.
Several major contract cancellations
have already been confirmed. Italian contractor Webuild reported the
termination of its $4.7 billion Trojena dam and lake project, which was
approximately 30 percent complete at the time of cancellation. The company also
confirmed the cancellation of a €1.4 billion ($1.6 billion) high-speed rail link
intended to connect The Line with Oxagon.
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Other contractors, including Hyundai
Engineering & Construction and Eversendai, have also disclosed contract
terminations linked to project restructuring.
NEOM
Scales Back Ambitions
Originally announced as a $500
billion futuristic city development, NEOM has undergone significant revisions
in recent years.
The project's centerpiece, The Line,
was envisioned as a 170-kilometer linear city designed to house up to nine
million residents. According to reports, only about 2.4 kilometers of
foundation work have been completed. Construction activity on the project was
suspended in 2025, and officials have indicated that work is unlikely to resume
before 2030.
Similarly, Trojena, the planned
mountain resort that had been selected to host the 2029 Asian Winter Games, has
seen major portions of its development halted following project reviews and the
postponement of the sporting event.
Sindalah, the luxury tourism island
intended to serve as a premier Red Sea destination, has also reportedly
received no new funding allocation under PIF's latest strategy.
Oxagon
Emerges as Priority Project
Among NEOM's various components,
Oxagon—the industrial and logistics hub located on the Gulf of Aqaba—appears to
be the primary beneficiary of continued funding.
PIF has allocated approximately $3
billion toward Oxagon's green hydrogen facility and port infrastructure. The
hydrogen project is reportedly nearing completion, while the port terminal is
expected to begin operations in 2026.
Analysts view the decision as
evidence of a strategic shift toward projects with clearer commercial prospects
and identifiable revenue streams.
Fiscal
Pressures Intensify
The restructuring of NEOM comes amid
broader fiscal challenges facing Saudi Arabia.
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Government data showed a
first-quarter 2026 budget deficit of SAR 125.7 billion ($33.5 billion), while
military expenditures increased sharply following regional security tensions.
At the same time, lower oil revenues and ongoing commitments to other Vision 2030
projects have placed additional demands on public finances.
PIF, which manages approximately
$925 billion in assets, has increasingly focused on selective investment
priorities and liquidity management. The fund's latest strategy emphasizes
domestic investments while reducing international exposure.
Economists note that the kingdom's
challenge is no longer whether to continue every element of NEOM, but how to
manage the costs associated with restructuring a project whose contractual
commitments were made during a period of significantly greater expansion plans.
While much of NEOM's original vision
has been scaled back, Saudi authorities continue to support selected projects
that are expected to generate long-term economic returns, particularly in
logistics, renewable energy, and industrial development.
Source:
House of Saud

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